Political Parties in the US - The electorate is divided by ideology, demographics, and "Rep-Ind-Dem" - Polarized more, especially in the past four years The gov reflects this - "Divided Government": different parties control House, Senate, Pres. - possibly governors' differences - Streamlining of government isn't voted for. What is a political party, in general? - A group of activists who organize to win elections, operate the government, and determine public policy - Controlling the government requires a broad band of beliefs - Can't be narrowly focused like a special interest group All political parties: 1) Recruit Candidates 2) Organizing and running elections - Funding 3) Presenting alternative policies Only major parties (Dem and Rep, in US): 4) Operate Government 5) Organize Opposition - Sometimes minor parties get governance in states Are parties still doing this effectively? - Morris Fiorina sees a "decline in all duties and accountability." Why? - Party Organization used to shape almost all political behavior - Now, the Dem establishment (ex.) doesn't control their nominee - Public spending limits mean campaigns don't need to rely on parties - Party in the Electorate - Candidates essentially run independent campaigns - They break from party platforms to serve local districts - Or focus differently, like fiscal conservatism vs family values. - Party in Government - Increased party fragmentation - Personal and local influence - Recently, politicians vote on party lines, but not too long ago, bipartisanship was a real option - The rise of Single Issue Groups - Parties are more beholden to Interests All parties can be broken down into three components: 1) Electorate - Core groups (base) - Essentially a guaranteed vote, so turnout is the main focus in these demographics - Campaigning to the other party's core groups is mostly unnecessary - Independents - Ex: women voters - Campaigning on women's issues can sway 4--9 pts in this group. - "Why elections are won or lost" - Loose affiliates (usually candidate-specific) - Difficult to campaign to or motivate these groups - Strategizing on these groups is hard - Ex: anti-Trump voters, Barack Obama voters. 2) Party Organization - Not organized hierarchically: national gov differs significantly from local gov and voters and the party orgs - It's more confederate: people organize loosely and give power to the party limitedly - National tends to be voters' focus (healthcare, nat. defense), but local, like potholes, schools have diff. policies than nat. Dems. - Party Presence is not a constant or constant polices - The party has the "umbrella" and its constituent parts are trying to fit into policy as they can, but not everything gets through. - Ex: high-income + low-education in Republican party 3) Party in government; crosses over with organization - Majority does not ensure power, especially not absolute power. - Supermajorities with united gov (pres, house, senate) is the only thing that gives one party the power. - Ticket splitting: vote for Biden but David Perdue. - Because of weaker parties Two Major Parties - Unlike most countries, broad bases with poor assurances for the parties - The Democratic Party - Minorities - Labor - Women - The Republican Party - High Income - College graduates (changing?) - Business - Religion? (depends) - Religiosity, evangelicals like Reps Why has the system endured? - US Exceptionalism and Institutions - For only 28 years did the US not have a two-party system 1. Duality (US exceptionalism) - Pro-choice or pro-life - Pro-gun or pro-gun control 2. Political socialization - "Two is all you need" - Issues are presented as two choices rather than nuanced problems 3. Political culture - Three distinct political cultures - The cultures lean in one direction or another. - Can be handled by two parties 4. State and Federal Laws - Written by the two parties - Handle more than 2 parties poorly 5. Winner-take-all electoral system - Duverger's law: how many winners? One -> two parties - District design, and even local elections have one winner per district Role of minor parties in the US? - Most countries' minor parties caucus with other parties. - They do *ocassionally* have an impact - 1992 Perot - 19% of popular vote but 0 electoral votes. Cost HW Bush the election. 1996 8.5% - Clinton was elected, setting the stage for Obama - Don't need a large % to make a difference. See 2016 - Historically important 3rd parties - Communist (Dem) - Green (Dem) - Bull-Moose Progressives (Rep) - Reform Party (mix of both)