watched a couple of INTA lectures

2 files changed, 104 insertions, 4 deletions

diff --git a/PROGRESS b/PROGRESS
index 191833c..a6e93ed 100644
--- a/PROGRESS
+++ b/PROGRESS
@@ -1,20 +1,26 @@
-- INTA lecture 11/4
-- INTA lecture 11/6
 - INTA lecture 11/9
 - INTA lecture 11/11
 - INTA lecture 11/13
+- Discussion activity for INTA
+- INTA lecture 11/16
+- INTA lecture 11/19
 - Nixon lecture
 - Seventies lecture
 - Revision activity on RR#3
 - RR#4
 - Med journal project
     - Video
-    - Ideas
+        - Bibliography/Research
+        - Script
+        - Slideshow
+    + Ideas
         - Journal entry
-    - Proposal
+    + Proposal
 - Determine what portfolio covers
 - Math Club Planning
 - DNA Club Outreach
++ INTA lecture 11/6
++ INTA lecture 11/4
 + INTA lecture 11/2
 + USH quiz 5
 + Math 6
diff --git a/rich/31_public_opinion b/rich/31_public_opinion
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..cd803ae
--- /dev/null
+++ b/rich/31_public_opinion
@@ -0,0 +1,94 @@
+Public Opinion: The People's Influence on Policy
+
+What is public opinion?
+- The aggregate beliefs and attitudes of some portion of adults (ex.
+  all voters, white voters, swing voters, suburban voters)
+    - Pretty much a political science metric
+- Expressed opinion differs from "real opinion"
+    - People lie about their preferenc
+    - Sometimes people don't even know until the day of!
+- The first poll was 1824
+    - "Straw polls" - unscientific and unrepresentative
+        - Pretty private, but only tells you the average belief of
+          whomever took the poll; ex. twitter polls
+        - Literary Digest 1916-1916
+            - 100% accurate up until 1936, when predicted Alf Landon
+                - Big selection bias: the only people who could buy the
+                  mag were rich and Republican.
+    - Each election, pollsters modify polls on possible selection bias.
+
+- We are measuring "Political Socialization"
+    - Socialization: the process by which individuals acquire beliefs
+      and attitudes
+Sources of Socialization
+1) Family
+- Most significant influence because you're "trapped" here as a kid
+    - By five years old, kids have political leanings
+    - People share opinions
+    - Children imitate their parents
+    - Personality
+        - Not necessarily specific policy, but values and norms
+    - You inherit social and economic networks from your parents
+    - Positive perception -> more imitation. Worse home environment ->
+      less inheritance of ideas
+    - Your ideas are not immutable of your parents
+2) Education
+    - Your first influence outside the home
+    - Promote patriotic rituals
+        - Pledge of allegiance
+        - School clubs and democracy (ex Illinois had students choose
+          state bird)
+        - Textbooks promote the status quo ("neutral")
+    - Academia's Liberal (anti-status quo) Influence
+        - This is only higher education, after you have been exposed to
+          the status quo, and it's largely overblown
+    - Students reflect popular opinion
+    - Still some parental control, like private school
+3) Peers and peer groups
+    - Who is "like you"
+    - Dr Rich, ex, has his local peer group, his work peer group, which
+      doesn't care much about student debt because that doesn't affect
+      his peers.
+    - Reinforces existing beliefs, making it harder to leave
+4) Religious influences
+    - Less influential at large, but those with these beliefs are super
+      impacted by this
+    - Political scientists measure religiosity in terms of church
+      attendance frequency
+5) Economic status/occupation
+    - Political analysis, national security, ex. have a right-center
+      bias
+    - Taxes are supported by government employees, disliked by other ppl
+    - More money typically -> more conservative
+6) Political Events
+    - Sep 11 and the War on Terror
+    - Maybe support for popular vote
+7) Leaders
+    - Formal leaders have a (small) impact, like press releases or news
+        - Rich's college roommate had a poster of Reagan.
+        - Trump's got a big positive/negative impact
+    - Informal (mostly community) leaders have a bigger impact: trust,
+      commitment, proximity
+8) Media
+    - The more sources, the less bias
+    - We stick with the stuff we like
+    - Low on this list because it is very low impact.
+9) Demographic traits
+    - Minor impact
+    - However, it is a pretty good metric for communities that have
+      similar beliefs and bigger analysis
+10) Gender gap
+    - Women are more left-leaning
+    - Possibly a bit biological
+    - But there's a lot of socialized ideological differences that are
+      largely captured by other social variables
+
+- George Gallop, early scientific political pollster
+    - 4 or 5 percentage points off an election prediction
+    - Believed polling enhances the democratic process
+    - Brings people back into the process
+        1 Year-round, even outside of election years (for politicians)
+        2 Polling weakens the power of interest groups
+        3 Indicates broad preferences, which initiate policies
+            - Like George W Bush proposing to privatize Social Security
+        4 Feedback on policy choices