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author | Holden Rohrer <hr@hrhr.dev> | 2020-08-28 00:52:42 -0400 |
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committer | Holden Rohrer <hr@hrhr.dev> | 2020-08-28 00:52:42 -0400 |
commit | c77f55c53d1ae62e65e0dd230980c2f41b097584 (patch) | |
tree | 9f62c20caf5d1b1e4e316fad4bcfd41ff293ff4b /houdre/03_foundations | |
parent | 33e8cefda3fbf89666beff7f6269863e8615a09b (diff) |
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-rw-r--r-- | houdre/03_foundations | 26 |
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diff --git a/houdre/03_foundations b/houdre/03_foundations new file mode 100644 index 0000000..03d76da --- /dev/null +++ b/houdre/03_foundations @@ -0,0 +1,26 @@ +A probability space is Omega, an event space, and P: E -> [0,+\infty) + +Why do we use infinite sums (A_1...A_\infty) instead of just finite sum? + +Ex. relevant question: I have a fair coin and I flip it until I get a +tails. Are you sure you'll eventually get tails? + +Yes. + +Lemma: What are the odds that n coin flips result in no tails? +Complement: What are the odds that n coin flips result in only heads? + +Each flip is independent and fair, so: + +P(A_1 \cap A_2 \cap \ldots \cap A_n) = 1/2^n +P("""^C) = 1 - 1/2^n + +Using an infinite union A_1...A_\omega = lim_n->\infty P(A_1\cap...A_n) + +This axiom defines this relation. + +Properties of probabilities (can be derived from original axioms): + For all A \in E, P(A^C) = 1-P(A) + For all A,B \in E, if A \subset B, P(A) \leq P(B) + For all A,B \in E, P(A \cup B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B) + Can construct Poincare lemma or inclusion/exclusion. |